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Outsourcing
U.S. Jobs: Economic Boom or Political Bust?
By
Caroline G. Cooper, Willkie Farr & Gallagher, LLP**
These
days it seems that almost every political analyst in
Washington is writing about the “growing phenomenon” of
outsourcing U.S. manufacturing and service sector jobs
overseas. Although outsourcing is not new and has been
going on for decades, the issue has garnered much political
attention in the past year in large part because manufacturing
job losses were so great.
In recent months, the negative political rhetoric on outsourcing has
focused more on job losses in the services sector, especially in the
information technology (IT) industry--a driving force behind America’s
renewed economic growth. The reasons are two-fold. First, politicians
claim that IT jobs are being shipped overseas in droves, and subsequently,
America is losing her technological edge; and second, American consumers
are not happy with the customer service they receive from foreign call
centers. GalleryWatch.com reports that in the next ten years, researchers
predict that nearly 5 million service sector jobs will be shipped overseas.
That many Americans are concerned about the increase in outsourced U.S.
jobs is understandable; they want to ensure that skilled employment opportunities
are not taken away from future generations of Americans. But an analysis
of the current political debate on outsourcing and some proposed policy
solutions reveals that politicians are more concerned about the politics
of outsourcing than they are with the economics of the issue. Politicians
should avoid prescribing short-term political fixes to what could become
a longer-term economic problem.
Deconstructing the Political Debate on Outsourcing
As political interest in outsourcing has grown, so has the debate. Essentially,
three schools of thought on outsourcing have emerged representing the
interests of the far right, the far left, and centrists.
The Bush Administration and conservatives in general represent the far
right school of thought on outsourcing. They argue that outsourcing jobs
is not an economic problem; rather, it is a boon for the economy, as
shipping low-skilled jobs overseas enables U.S. companies to reinvest
in the economy and create higher-skilled jobs at home.
The Administration’s position on outsourcing was outlined in the
Economic Report of the President released last February. In the report,
U.S. officials downplayed the contribution of outsourcing to job losses
by finding that the decline in manufacturing jobs last year resulted
in small part from the transfer of low-skilled manufacturing jobs abroad
and more to rising demand for workers in the services sector. Shortly
after the report was released, Gregory Mankiw, Chairman of the Council
of Economic Advisors, received harsh criticism for his widely reported
characterization of outsourcing as beneficial for the U.S. economy.
U.S. business groups have defended the Administration’s position
on outsourcing, claiming that too few facts and too much rhetoric have
played into the political debate on the issue. In the April edition of
Asia Insider, Thomas Donohue, President and CEO of the U.S. Chamber of
Commerce, outlined a number “Facts About Outsourcing.” Donohue
argued that U.S. job losses were associated more with increases in productivity
and slow growth in the economy than outsourcing. He opined that the biggest
threat to future employment is a shortage of workers--not jobs, and that
future jobs will not be created by protectionist policies. Donohue disavowed
the notion that outsourcing IT jobs is causing America to lose her technological
edge, and he pointed to expert’s opinion that jobs sourced overseas “amount
to a small fraction of (the United States) workforce.”
On the last point, Donohue was proven correct. A report published in
June by the Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on
extended mass layoffs associated with domestic and overseas relocations
determined that in the first quarter of 2004, only 4,633 jobs of the
239,361 jobs lost from lay offs were due to the movement of work overseas.
Donohue’s arguments point to the fact that while outsourcing may
not be an immediate economic problem, preventing it from becoming one
in the future requires that politicians reduce their political rhetoric
and enact the right policies. According to Donohue, the right policy
mix would encourage the government to “open markets and enforce
trade agreements; improve the skills of our workforce and expand the
labor pool; modernize our transportation, energy, and technology infrastructure;
and reduce the legal, regulatory, tax, and health care costs.”
Analysts from the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) correctly argue
that the second school of thought on outsourcing, as advocated by far
left Democrats, emerged in response to the Bush Administration’s
inattention to the issue and suggestion that cutting taxes will keep
businesses at home. In reaction, left-leaning Democrats have introduced
legislation, both at the state and federal level, that “inspires
a retreat from globalization,” according PPI head Will Marshall.
A survey of legislation on outsourcing compiled by GalleryWatch.com and
MultiState Associates, Inc. shows that members of the second school of
thought want to restrict companies from sourcing work overseas in two
ways: by protecting labor interests and by protecting consumer interests.
One notable example of legislation proposed to protect labor interests
is an amendment offered by Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT) to S. 1637,
the American Jobs Act. Dodd’s amendment would preclude the federal
government or any state government from receiving federal funds for a
specific project to outsource federal contracts overseas. One example
of a bill introduced under the guise of protecting consumer interests
is H.R. 4366, the Personal Data Offshoring Protection Act of 2004, sponsored
by Representative Edward Markey (D-MA). H.R. 4366 would preclude companies
from sourcing work overseas that involves a consumer’s private
information without prior notification to and consent from that consumer.
This is required for countries that do not have adequate privacy protection
laws. Although a number of state governments have proposed, and in some
cases, passed outright bans on the outsourcing of U.S. jobs, no such
legislation has been approved by either chamber of the U.S. Congress.
On July 20, PPI introduced a new policy paper on “Meeting the Offshoring
Challenge,” hoping to shift the debate on outsourcing to the center
and create a third school of thought on the issue. Although PPI is affiliated
with the New Democrat faction of the Democratic Party, many of the policy
proposals advocated by the organization are endorsed by centrist members
of the Republican Party and many businesses. PPI’s Robert Atkinson
promotes the following three-pronged strategy to confront the outsourcing
challenge:
-
boosting
innovation and worker’s skills by providing
federal funding and tax credits for research and
development, promoting education and training programs
which emphasize math and science, and easing immigration
restrictions on Ph.D. graduates in those fields;
-
leveling
the playing field on trade by eliminating currency
manipulation, enforcing U.S. trade agreements and
opening markets, and encouraging U.S. companies to
stay home by eliminating offshore tax shelters; and
empowering U.S. workers by requiring companies to
give advance notice that jobs will be outsourced,
extending trade adjustment assistance to workers
in the services sector, and providing wage insurance,
to name a few.
Finding the Right Solution
As the debate on outsourcing enters the realm of Presidential politics,
it is important that both candidates, President Bush and Senator John Kerry
(D-MA), put aside their personal politics and consider the economic facts
associated with outsourcing before recommending policies to address the
issue.
First, outsourcing jobs does not pose an immediate threat to America’s
economic growth. The data concludes that fewer jobs have been lost to outsourcing
than predicted; however, without the right policies to promote better math
and science education, foster innovation, and reduce some labor costs here
at home, more jobs could be lost in the future, and America’s competitive
edge could begin to wane.
Second, consumers continue to demand quality, low-cost goods, many of which
are produced overseas. By restricting trade to curb the outsourcing of
U.S. jobs, American consumers would be deprived of product choices, and
in turn, economic growth in developing countries could be threatened. At
the same time, companies must not sacrifice quality in terms of the products
they make or services they provide just for cheaper factors of production.
The right policy mix will ensure that consumers continue to have quality,
low-costs goods and services produced both at home and abroad.
Both candidates must face facts to effectively confront future economic
challenges associated with outsourcing. If President Bush is elected to
another term in office, he must not dismiss the notion that outsourcing
high-skilled jobs could have a negative impact on the U.S. economy in the
long-term. If Senator John Kerry (D-MA) is elected President, he must consider
a more balanced policy approach to outsourcing, not one that aims at restricting
trade. **Please note this article reflects the views of the author, and
is not an expression of views on behalf of Willkie Farr & Gallagher
LLP or KWR International, Inc.
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