Rising
Confidence Provides Further Evidence of an Economic Recovery
in Japan
NEW
YORK -- (BUSINESS WIRE) -- June 7, 2004
The Japan External Trade Organization New
York (JETRO NY) released a newsletter today highlighting
regional development in Japan. It can be viewed
at:
http://www.jetro.go.jp/usa/newyork/focusnewsletter/focus34.html
- Restructuring & Reform
Helping to Improve Japanese Corporate Performance
Restructuring and reform initiatives have been helping to
restore
efficiency and to improve the performance of Japanese firms.
During the
first quarter of 2004, Japan's gross domestic product grew
at an impressive
annual pace of 5.6 percent.
Corporate profitability is also on the rise. A rising stock
market, export
growth and demand for digital appliances, have all helped net
profits of
listed companies to rise to a record ¥3.26 trillion ($29.02
billion) for
the year ended March 31st. This is up 68% from fiscal 2002.
Regional economies are also showing signs of strength. Economic
activity is
strengthening in the Tokai region, and industrial production
indexes in
Aichi, Gifu and Mie prefectures rose to new highs for five
straight months
through January 2004.
- The
Positive Outlook that is Emerging Does Not Eliminate
the Need for
Caution
While
the future looks far more promising for Japan than
it has in over a
decade, the need to maintain a balanced perspective
should not be
minimized. Important considerations include:
- Lack of Income Growth: The trend toward greater
consumer consumption
is a positive sign, however, as in the U.S., this
rise in spending is
being largely generated through savings rather than
a rise in income.
- Rising Materials and Commodities Prices: While
deflation remains a
concern, Japan's progress and a worldwide rise in
commodities and raw
materials demand have now introduced price increases
on the industrial
level.
- Export Dependency: Japan continues to be highly
reliant on its export
sector. It therefore remains highly correlated to
events in foreign
business and financial markets.
- Maintaining Restructuring and Reform: In a democratic
nation, dramatic
change is generally only possible during times of
duress when it is clear a
break with the past is both important and necessary.
It can only be hoped
Japan will be able to persevere in its efforts to
implement the
comprehensive reforms and corporate actions necessary
to build upon the
changes that have been made.
- Foreign
Investors Have Begun to Realize Large Profits on Their
Japanese
Holdings
During the late 1990s most internationally-focused
investors were
enthralled by the U.S. dotcom and seeming productivity miracle.
Few were
prepared to devote their energies and financial resources on
an economy
that appeared to be in permanent decline. A few brave foreigners,
however,
foresaw the opportunities and moved to realize the potential
through new
allocations of capital and the introduction of more efficient
management
styles and methods.
One recent success is the example of Ripplewood Holdings, which
is
realizing a fourfold return on an investment in Japan Telecom
in less than
a year. That's on top of an even bigger achievement last February,
when
Ripplewood's four-year investment in the failed Long-Term Credit
Bank of
Japan culminated in one of the most anticipated initial public
offerings in
Japan in recent years.
While there has also been concern that demand for Japanese
equities has
been largely driven by foreigners, one indicator of rising
interest from
retail Japanese investors can be seen in new data from six
major Japanese
securities firms that specialize in online trading. As of the
end of the
first quarter of 2004, they collectively held 1.15 million
brokerage
accounts -- an increase of 28% year on year. Additionally,
during the
first week of April Japanese retail investors traded the largest
portion of
stocks on the Tokyo exchange, at 32 percent, overtaking foreign
investors,
who made 22 percent of the trades. The following week, their
share grew to
37 percent, while foreigners traded only 19 percent of stocks.
Data and statistics have been
compiled by JETRO from publicly-released
media accounts. JETRO does not guarantee
their accuracy, and any such information
should be checked by
the reader before they are used to
make any business or investment decision.
For additional
information, please contact Satoshi Miyamoto, Executive
Director of JETRO NY at Tel: 212-997-0416, Fax: 212-997-0464, E-mail:
Satoshi_Miyamoto@jetro.go.jp
Contact: Satoshi Miyamoto
Executive Director, JETRO NY
Tel: 212-997-0416
Fax: 212-997-0464
E-mail: Satoshi_Miyamoto@jetro.go.jp.
Focus is published and disseminated by JETRO New York, in coordination with KWR International, Inc., New York, NY 10023, Tel: 212-532-3005, Fax: 212-799-0517, E-mail: kwrintl@kwrintl.com. JETRO New York is registered as an agent of the Japan External Trade Organization, Tokyo, Japan and KWR International, Inc. is registered on behalf of JETRO New York. This material is filed with the Department of Justice where the required registration
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